Recently, rich home released the "2013 full year the rich standard second-hand housing price index analysis report", the report said, "Sui six" policy, some buyers purchase temporarily blocked, watching the market strong, "etc. down "mentality evident, the overall downturn in the secondary market weakness into a stalemate, and will continue for some time in the New Year.
　　stalemate weak hand at the end of tapartment rent shanghaihe property market
　　2013 年 high to low before the general characteristics of the secondary housing market in Guangzhou, where 20% of the tax in March of "last train" effect, so used blowout trading volume, the highest monthly volume record over the years. With the high prices continue to rise in the second half, the wishes of buyers into the market has weakened, with inadequate urban just need to set the source and the mortgage has been tightened and other factors, trading the heat down significantly. November 2013, "Sui six" policy, some buyers purchase temporarily blocked, watching the market is strong, "and so on down" mentality obviously, the whole secondary market downturn into a stalemate weakness.
　　rich home, according to statistics, in 2013 the annual Guangzhou hand property prices rose 15.4%. Market as a whole slowed in the fourth quarter, second-hand high prices stabilized.
　　"spike six" policy, part of the buyers wait and see mood shanghai rent houseincrease, "and down" mentality is obvious. Broadly divided into three types: the relative lack of strength in the low-end buyers, mostly in the first set, before the "spike six" policy has weakened bullish attitude, a certain sentiment; After "spike six" policy, waiting to see increased expectations mentality prices fell significantly. There is a certain strength in the end the first set and the first change buyers, before "spike six" policy, because the demand is not urgent, the mentality is more stable; After the "spike six" policy, the price is something to look forward, slowing down the rhythm of the market, but met cost-effective "Featured Listings", the market opportunity is still large. Partial stronger in the high-end and high-end buyers, "Sui six" attitude both before and after the policy is more stable, but prefer to price larger space center quality "bamboo plate." Based on the above analysis available, high prices are current round of market "wait and see, such as lowering" of the main causes.
　　Yuexiu, Tianhe led the city throughout the year
　　accounted for by the second-hand housing a whole, the share of the secondary market to see, the city has over half of the ten districts; central area of ??more than 70%. In 2013 the largest increase in second-hand property prices are still concentrated in the central region of the five areas, in order were: Yuexiu, Tianhe, Liwan, Haizhu, Huangpu. Mainly due to the scarcity of new goods in one hand, and regional advantages of resources, facilities, transportation and other prominent impact. 2013 prices rose a relatively small area are: Panyu, Baiyun, Huadu, Luogang other peripheral and suburban Area.
　　see the plate, or the larger plates are mainly concentrated in the former prime locations Dongshan District, Yuexiu, Liwan, Tianhe, Haizhu and other urban centers, such as the Yuexiu District; Zhujiang New Town, Tianhe District, day Hebei Tianhe Park Tianhe central area, with a wide favorable raw steel Metro Area and strong demand Fangcun Industrial Road, Haizhu District, plates and so on.
　　2013 in Guangzhou are the total price of second-hand housing turnover of up to 1,717,000 units, compared with the previous rose sharply. Which accounted for 1,000,000 or less clear downward trend in 2011 accounted for less than 1 million in about five percent; 2012 decreased Zhisi Cheng; whereas in 2013 only three percent. The proportion of the more than 2 million rising from the original about 10%, rising to nearly 20% in 2012; 2013, refrain.
　　affected by the tightening of the second half of the mortgage, the property market in 2013 used a one-time payment ratio has increased, from less than three percent in 2012, rising to three to four, of which 11,12 a month or even more than four-time buyers choose payment. By the regional perspective, Tianhe, Haizhu, Yuexiu, Liwan and other "old four areas" the proportion of annual disposable more than four percent. 2013 Guangzhou second-hand housing transaction price rose rapidly, the average turnover approaching 200 million mark, reaching 19,534 yuan /? Compared to 2012, up 16.7 percent.
　　second-hand shops investment down 45% year on year
　　2013 hand shops in Guangzhou market more stable. According to the Guangzhou Municipal Land Resources and Housing Management Bureau data show that in 2013, Guangzhou hand shops closing 3882, a decrease of 45% compared to 2012.
　　2011 and 2012 due to the residential "restriction", many private funds into the retail market, the total price is not high, a small area of ??shops sought after, in 2011 and 2012 Trades up to about 7,000 units, an increase of up to double the normal period. 2013, with the investment boom down shops, second-hand shops deal to return to a more normal level, between 3000-4000 sets. However, the turnover of the area to see, in 2013, Guangzhou hand shops closing an area of ??285,000? Still increased by 7.5% compared to 2012, primarily small area shops substantially reduced demand. Retail investment boom receded, showing off the Guangzhou real estate investment mentality gradually return to more rational stage.
　　rent, the average rent in 2013 compared to last year, Guangzhou has a second-hand housing rose sharply. Data show that in 2013 the average rent Guangzhou high-grade commercial housing market is 44.6 yuan / / month, compared to 2012 rose by 9.3%, or increased somewhat compared with 2012, 2012, Guangzhou residential rents rose just 4.6%. Overall, the 2013 Guangzhou was high residential rents rising trend.
　　hand property prices are expected to increase in 2014 to reduce
　　rich home is expected by the end of 2013, this trading is not busy, waiting to see relatively strong, high prices stabilizing trend will continue for some time. However, due to the speed of the property market to digest the policy has accelerated quickly, expect this downturn trend or will be improved in the first quarter of 2014 or so, trading activity picked up. The main view of the country is still better overall environment, the speed of urbanization, the demographic dividend, resources and other first-tier cities is no substantive change in the fundamental macroeconomic factors. Plus supply and demand will remain tight, the market policy "resistance" to enhance and buyers expected prices fell sharply few other factors. Future policy direction is still the largest market uncertainty, particularly noteworthy is that in March 2014 policy signals "two sessions" released. If the signal is strong regulation, the market out of a wait time will be extended.
　　from the current situation, the possibility of second-hand housing turnover in 2014 of a substantial volume is not high. Generally expected to return to more normal, stable levels quarter 2014 average daily volume that is roughly equivalent to the 2013 second and third quarters of 2014 the overall volume with the 2013 full year, or roughly flat. Mainly due to the high prices, mortgages and other market factors always high threshold materially affect the property market, coupled with the lack of impact on the urban periphery of the source disk and streaming the new disc.
　　With the recovery of the property markeshanghai house rentt, second-hand property prices are expected to steadily trend unchanged, but the increase is estimated below 2013.
　　reporter Xu Lei